Climate change impact assessment on water inflow to a coastal lagoon: the Ria de Aveiro watershed
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Additional Info
| Mező | Érték |
|---|---|
| Last Updated | szeptember 12, 2018, 08:19 (UTC) |
| Created | július 18, 2018, 17:25 (UTC) |
| lillebo@ua.pt | |
| Language | Eng |
| Abstract | A climate change impact study was performed for the watershed of the Ria de Aveiro Lagoon in Portugal. The total freshwater inflow to the lagoon was analysed considering long-term average annual and seasonal changes in discharge, as well as extremes in terms of high/low-flow percentiles. The eco-hydrological model SWIM was calibrated at three gauges and driven by a set of 15 climate scenarios from the ENSEMBLES project for one reference and three future 30-year periods. The results indicate a moderate decrease of total inflow by 5–7% in the first two scenario periods, and up to 15% in the third period. High flows do not change significantly, whereas low flows show the strongest decreasing trend among the analysed variables (10–30%). Though the trends in average discharge and low flow are very clear, the uncertainty of projections driven by 15 scenarios is high, and it is increasing with time. |
| Licenc | CC-BY-NC-4.0 |
| Classification | Environment |
| Publication date | 2015-04-08 |
| INSPIRE theme | Natural risk zones |
| Free keywords | CS5, Aveiro, Natura 2000, Ria de Aveiro, Baixo Vouga Lagunar, Vouga Basin, Portugal, lagoon, paper |
| Responsible party |
Organisation: Hydrological Sciences Journal
Email: lillebo@ua.pt Role: Point of Contact |
| Related publications | Anastassi Stefanova, Valentina Krysanova, Cornelia Hesse & Ana Isabel Lillebø (2015) Climate change impact assessment on water inflow to a coastal lagoon: the Ria de Aveiro watershed, Portugal, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60:5, 929-948, DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2014.983518 |
| Spatial extent - North | 40.87 |
| Spatial extent - South | 40.48 |
| Spatial extent - East | -8.45 |
| Spatial extent - West | -8.86 |